Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.190806 0.212621 0.235200 0.260261 0.287243 0.315366 0.346840
2025-01-05 0.161687 0.191433 0.223552 0.260632 0.302073 0.346783 0.398483
2025-01-12 0.139894 0.174814 0.213946 0.260663 0.314524 0.374289 0.445222
2025-01-19 0.121709 0.159997 0.204405 0.259055 0.323821 0.397461 0.486826
2025-01-26 0.108735 0.149791 0.198923 0.261048 0.336470 0.424042 0.532335
2025-02-02 0.100660 0.144612 0.198693 0.268706 0.355472 0.458014 0.586822
2025-02-09 0.090937 0.136337 0.193780 0.269895 0.366133 0.481814 0.629302
2025-02-16 0.083594 0.130426 0.191231 0.273523 0.379454 0.508712 0.675670
2025-02-23 0.079392 0.128302 0.193250 0.282761 0.399753 0.544317 0.733079
2025-03-02 0.071457 0.120283 0.186816 0.280416 0.404850 0.560765 0.766782
2025-03-09 0.065290 0.114234 0.182566 0.280540 0.412826 0.580679 0.804838
2025-03-16 0.059291 0.107906 0.177458 0.279080 0.418396 0.597342 0.838778
2025-03-23 0.055555 0.104898 0.177105 0.284437 0.433614 0.627331 0.891081
2025-03-30 0.050933 0.100107 0.173842 0.285467 0.442867 0.649598 0.933730
2025-04-06 0.046598 0.095382 0.170341 0.285886 0.451122 0.670548 0.974862
2025-04-13 0.042215 0.090169 0.165741 0.284397 0.456513 0.687606 1.010993
2025-04-20 0.039125 0.086867 0.163835 0.286675 0.467096 0.711674 1.056598
2025-04-27 0.037613 0.086195 0.165971 0.294967 0.486312 0.747661 1.118484
2025-05-04 0.034770 0.082856 0.163621 0.296295 0.495444 0.769907 1.162152
2025-05-11 0.032672 0.080700 0.163033 0.300214 0.508308 0.797381 1.213126
2025-05-18 0.031844 0.080882 0.166285 0.310128 0.530077 0.837451 1.281618
2025-05-25 0.028873 0.076602 0.161777 0.307629 0.533366 0.851679 1.314939
2025-06-01 0.026597 0.073480 0.159041 0.307770 0.540473 0.871257 1.355712